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Understanding Recession Fears & Embracing Homeownership

Before 2023, there were worries about a possible recession that could cause home prices to crash. Some experts even predicted that prices could drop by a significant amount, making potential buyers hesitant about purchasing a home. But what actually happened was quite surprising. Instead of going down, home prices went up more than usual. Brian D. Luke, who's a big name in commodities, said that 2023 saw home prices rising more than they usually do in a year.



Looking back at the data since 1980, we can see that home prices mostly go up. The only time they really dropped was during the big housing market crash in 2008. Since then, they've been steadily climbing again. This shows that the housing market generally tends to increase in value over time, according to sources like Forbes.


Today's housing market is different from the one in 2008. Right now, there aren't enough homes available to meet the demand from buyers. Plus, homeowners are in a better position financially because they have a lot of equity in their homes. This means they're less likely to face foreclosure and lose their homes, which could drive prices down.


So, apart from those tough years during the 2008 crash, owning a home has usually been a good investment. When you own a home, it typically becomes more valuable over time, boosting your overall wealth. If you're financially ready and can handle the responsibilities that come with homeownership, buying a home could be a smart move for you.


Exploring How Home Prices Go Up:

To understand why home prices keep rising, let's break it down into simple terms. It all boils down to the balance between how many homes are available to buy (supply) and how many people want to buy them (demand).


Supply:

One big factor affecting home prices is how many homes are out there for sale. If there aren't many homes available, prices tend to go up because buyers have fewer options. Things like rules about where homes can be built and difficulties in getting land for new homes can limit the number of houses on the market.


Right now, in many places, there just aren't enough homes to go around, especially in cities where lots of people want to live. This shortage of available homes means sellers can ask for higher prices since there's so much demand and so few options for buyers.


Demand:

On the flip side, how many people want to buy homes also affects prices. If more people want to buy homes, prices tend to go up because sellers know they can get more money for their properties. This demand can be influenced by things like how many people are moving to an area, how good the economy is, and whether interest rates on loans are low.


For example, when the economy is doing well, more people have jobs and feel confident about buying a home. And when interest rates on loans are low, it's cheaper for people to borrow money to buy a house. These factors make more people want to buy homes, which drives up prices.


Trends and Patterns:

Economic ups and downs also play a role in how home prices change over time. When things are going well, with lots of jobs and people feeling secure in their finances, the housing market usually booms. That means prices go up. But when the economy struggles, like during a recession, people are more cautious about buying homes, so prices might not go up as much or could even drop temporarily.


Remembering the Housing Crash:

The big housing crash in 2008 was a tough time for the housing market. Prices plummeted, and lots of people lost their homes because they couldn't afford their mortgages. But it's important to realize that downturns like this are rare. Most of the time, home prices keep climbing steadily, even if there are occasional bumps along the way.


Government Rules and Policies:

What the government does also affects home prices. Rules about mortgages, taxes, and where homes can be built can all impact the market. For instance, if the government gives incentives for people to buy homes, like tax breaks or special programs for first-time buyers, it can push prices up because more people are eager to buy.


On the other hand, if the government makes it harder to get loans or imposes strict rules on building new homes, it can slow down the housing market and keep prices from rising too fast.


Making Sense of Homeownership:

In the end, owning a home is often a smart financial move. It's a way to build wealth over time because, historically, home values tend to go up. Of course, it's essential to be ready for the responsibilities that come with homeownership, like paying for repairs and property taxes. But if you're in a good financial position and ready to take on those duties, buying a home could be a wise choice for you.


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